Root cause analysis is only as good as the method behind it. Here we take one real incident, the 2019 hydrogen sulfide release at an Aghorn Operating waterflood station investigated by the U.S. Chemical Safety Board, and work it through four common methods: 5-Whys, fishbone, barrier analysis, and fault tree analysis. You will see what each method finds, what each one misses, and why experienced investigators use more than one.
Every investigation starts with facts, not conclusions. All facts below come from the CSB's published executive summary (Report No. 2020-01-I-TX, May 2021).
The CSB identified six safety issues. We will use them as the "answer key" to see how well each method finds them:
Ask "why" repeatedly until you reach a cause that management can fix. Simple, fast, and easy to teach, but it follows one path at a time. Because two people died in different ways, this incident needs two chains.
Sort possible contributing factors into categories so the team looks in every direction, not just down one path. Categories vary. These six fit an operating facility.
List every barrier that should have stood between the hazard (H2S in produced water) and the people, then ask how each one performed. It's often pictured as the "Swiss cheese" model: harm happens when the holes in every layer line up.
| Barrier | Intended function | Performance on Oct. 26, 2019 | Basis (CSB) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pump containment | Keep H2S-bearing water inside the pump | Failed | Broken plunger found post-incident. Timing of failure could not be determined. |
| Lockout/tagout | Prevent the pump from energizing during work | Not in place | No written LOTO policy or procedure. Pump not locked out. |
| Personal H2S detector | Warn the worker of H2S before exposure | Not used | Not worn. No evidence management required it. |
| Fixed detection and alarms | Sound an alarm on H2S release | Failed | Control panel received no sensor signals. Neither alarm triggered. |
| Ventilation | Dilute and remove released gas | Inadequate | Bay doors about 60% open. Fan operation unconfirmed. H2S levels stayed high. |
| Site security | Keep untrained people out of hazard areas | Bypassed by practice | Gates left unlocked while an employee was on site. |
| Safety management program | Make sure all the barriers above exist and work | Not in place | No formal safety or operating policies beyond a few documents. |
Start with the outcome at the top and work downward with logic gates. An AND gate means all branches had to happen. An OR gate means any one branch was enough. A fault tree is the only one of the four methods that can show where the facts run out.
Our assessment of how each worked example above captured the CSB's six safety issues. Results depend on the investigators. These reflect the examples on this page.
| CSB safety issue | 5-Whys | Fishbone | Barrier | Fault tree |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Personal H2S detector | – | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| 2 · Lockout/tagout | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| 3 · H2S confinement / ventilation | – | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| 4 · Safety management program | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | Partial |
| 5 · Detection and alarm system | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| 6 · Site security | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ |
| Shows sequence and logic | Partial | – | – | ✓ |
| Shows what is unknown | – | – | Partial | ✓ |
No single method caught everything with the full picture. A fishbone or barrier analysis to cast a wide net, plus a 5-Whys or fault tree to test cause and effect, is a strong combination.
"He didn't lock it out" and "he didn't wear his detector" are where weak investigations stop. Every method here, pushed far enough, led to the same place: missing management systems.
The CSB stated plainly what it could not determine. Good investigations do the same instead of filling gaps with assumptions.
SafeGuard PSM helps facilities investigate incidents and near misses, find management system causes, and build recommendations that actually get closed out.
Talk to Us Read the Aghorn Case Study HAZOP Worked Example All 111 Case StudiesU.S. Chemical Safety and Hazard Investigation Board, Hydrogen Sulfide Release at Aghorn Operating Waterflood Station, Executive Summary from Final Report, Report No. 2020-01-I-TX, May 2021. Executive summary (PDF) · CSB investigation page
The investigation methods shown (5-Whys, Ishikawa/fishbone diagrams, barrier analysis, and fault tree analysis) are general, widely published techniques. The analyses are SafeGuard PSM's illustrative work based solely on the CSB's published facts.